Heads our ratings at 92.8, led in a hot race last start but gets a better setup today, and it is paying more than it should.
Take $3.80 at betrEvery runner rated. Every price checked.
Every race in Australia, every horse in it, rated from how it has actually run. That rating becomes a price, and where the market's price is wrong, we say so.
Every run of every horse, broken into its sections and adjusted for the race it was in. From that, we read:
- Class
- How good it is, on the benchmark scale the races use.
- Age
- Young horses still improving, older ones holding or tapering.
- Freshness
- First up, second up, or deep into a campaign.
- Weight
- What it carries today against what it has carried before.
- Sectional times
- How fast it runs the early, middle and late parts of a race.
- Pace and pressure
- Where it settles, and how it handles a hot early speed.
- Tempo
- How it goes when a race is run fast, and when it's slow.
- Track
- Its form at this course, and how the course suits its style.
- Distance
- Its form at the trip, and whether it's up or down in trip.
- Going
- How it handles firm, good, soft and heavy ground.
- Barrier
- Where it jumps from, at this track and distance.
- Race strength
- How strong the races were that its form came in.
- Jockey
- Who rides it, and how they've been going.
- Trainer
- Who trains it, and how the stable is going.
It all comes down to one rating for today's race, in benchmark points, set against the par for the class. The parts behind it are on every race page too.
- Today
- The one number we price off: the horse's rating for this race, in today's conditions.
- Par
- What a typical winner of this class rates. Above par is above the standard of the race.
- Early, Mid, Late
- How it runs each part of a race, so you can see the speed and the finishers.
- Map
- Where we expect it to settle: leader, on pace, midfield or back.
Our price: what the horse should be paying, from its rating against the rest of the field.
The best price the market is offering right now, from the bookies and the exchange.
The gap between the two. A horse paying more than it should is an overlay.
Tips come out at 11am each morning, then update in real time until the jump. Join our Discord to be told the moment a play is posted.
- Every call, won or lost, is settled in public on the results page. Nothing is deleted.
- Level stakes, one unit a call, so the record reads the same whatever you bet.
- The whole record downloads as a spreadsheet.
A race with a bet
A race with a lay
A Prime Overlay
A Way Overlay
Run: first four home, the border shows what we had on
Open any race for our top four, the speed map, the ratings and the full market. One race a day is free with an account, and the rest open with a plan or a day pass.
Questions
- What scale are the ratings on?
- Australian benchmark points, the same scale as the race classes, so a horse rated 64 belongs in a Benchmark 64 race and the best horses in the world sit around 130.
- How it works Datahub
- What is the Today rating?
- The one number everything adds up to: the horse's class rating, adjusted for today's race.
- How it works
- What is a rated price?
- Our price for the horse, worked out from the Today ratings of the whole field, shown next to its win chance so you can compare it with the market.
- Today's tips
- What is a bet and what is a lay?
- A bet is a horse whose market price is bigger than our rated price, a lay is a horse whose market price is shorter than our rated price and worth opposing on the exchange.
- Today's tips
- What is the difference between a bet, a Prime Overlay and a Way Overlay?
- A bet is a horse the market has longer than our rated price by a clear margin. A Prime Overlay is our strongest bet, a big gap on a horse with a real chance, shown in lime. A Way Overlay is a bet at a big price, a roughie the market has way over the odds, shown in the lighter blue and struck at small stakes because most of them lose and the ones that win pay for the rest.
- Today's tips