Creator of The Overlay. Posts the odd one he likes.
Matt has not posted today.
How have they got this so short? Did not much on debut, is up against a weekend field today but sub $2 is crazy!
As mentioned on podcast, this is not a good price. Laying anything south of 3 come jump time.
$1.70 off two starts against a deeper field than it has met. The Pacific, Prince De Vega and Lawless Lucy have stronger form, and it has to lead from 4 with Prince De Vega pressing. Fair odds $2.05.
Into $2.50 from $4.40 first up after 126 days. A maiden after eight starts and 0 from 2 first up. Gold Cup has comparable form and maps closer. Best of a weak maiden, not at $2.50. Fair odds $3.20.
Fifth of seven on our figures and a leader with ordinary closing sectionals. Too short at the price.
Last of eight on our figures at 73.0. Far too short for a leader without the late speed.