Bar 2 · 60kg · Jake Toeroek
Tops the field at 101.0 with the speed to be first to settle, maps to lead but will be tested, but its chance is not as good as the odds say.
Jeez this is a weak race, think BEA has stacks of potential and his only defeat was in a stronger race in Melbourne on a heavy deck. Two nice trials to lead in, hard to knock.
Tops the field at 101.0 with the speed to be first to settle, maps to lead but will be tested, but its chance is not as good as the odds say.
Today. The rating we price off: class adjusted for today's going and the predicted tempo.
| # | Runner | Live | Rated | Back at | Lay at | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boyd Stephen Theodore | $10.00at PointsBet | $9.40 | $11.60 | $6.00 | |
| 2 | Bred 'em All Richard and Chantelle Jolly | $2.05at Palmerbet | $2.55 | $2.70 | $2.20 | lay |
| 3 | Leading Impact Aaron Bain and Ned Taylor | $31.00at Dabble | $41.70 | $253 | $11.90 | |
| 5 | Virtual Illusion Richard and Chantelle Jolly | $5.00at betr | $5.30 | $6.00 | $4.00 | |
| 7 | Walter Spur Trevor Rogers | $71.00at BetRight | $64.20 | — | $13.20 | |
| 8 | Fill A Promise Nikki Pollock | $17.00at Sportsbet | $19.10 | $31.00 | $8.90 | |
| 9 | Heart Of The Med David Jolly and Justin Potter | $19.00at BetRight | $17.30 | $26.40 | $8.50 | |
| 10 | Hooked On Wealth Wayne Francis and Glen Kent | $20.00at betr | $18.50 | $29.30 | $8.80 | |
| 11 | Over Yonder Brendon Davis | $34.00at betr | $34.50 | $111 | $11.20 | |
| 13 | Blanc Visage Peter and Belinda Blanch | $13.00at PointsBet | $13.60 | $18.70 | $7.50 | |
| 14 | Madam Jeanette Shane and Cassie Oxlade | $101at PointsBet | $97.70 | — | $14.20 |
Scratched: 4 Santastico, 6 More Than Hope, 12 Nostryia
Open any runner for the horse, its last runs, what to expect and our call.
Bred 'em All is the best horse, but a hot tempo gives Boyd a real shot.
Should lead, is first up after 133 days, was well beaten last start and the tempo is against it. Lay: $2.05 in the market is under our $2.55.
Goes back, resumes from a break, goes up 4.0kg, the tempo is in its favour and it finishes off hard. No bet: in our top four, but $5.00 against our $5.30 is about right.
Settles on the speed, the likely tempo costs it 4.0 points, ran second last start and the tempo is against it. No bet: in our top four, but $10.00 against our $9.40 is about right.
Second best in the field at 98.5 with the best closing sectionals, got back at an even tempo last start but gets the race it needs today.
Ranks third for us at 92.3 with speed to burn early, led at an even tempo last start but today's race will not suit as well.
Our fourth pick at 85.8 and its best form is in fast-run races, sits off a hot pace in midfield.
Settles midfield, beat Blanc Visage last start, comes off a win and the tempo is in its favour. No bet: in our top four, but $19.00 against our $17.30 is about right.
| Runner | Settles | Race speed | Closing speed | Expect |
|---|---|---|---|---|
L2. Bred 'em All(B2)lay | Leader | Fast tempo against it, gets tested up front | Runs the race out evenly | Should lead, is first up after 133 days, was well beaten last start and the tempo is against it. Lay: $2.05 in the market is under our $2.55. |
25. Virtual Illusion(B14) | Back | Fast tempo suits, gets pulled into it | Strong closer | Goes back, resumes from a break, goes up 4.0kg, the tempo is in its favour and it finishes off hard. No bet: in our top four, but $5.00 against our $5.30 is about right. |
31. Boyd(B3) | On pace | Fast tempo against it, gets tested up front | Runs the race out evenly | Settles on the speed, the likely tempo costs it 4.0 points, ran second last start and the tempo is against it. No bet: in our top four, but $10.00 against our $9.40 is about right. |
49. Heart Of The Med(B13) | Midfield | Fast tempo suits, gets pulled into it | Runs the race out evenly | Settles midfield, beat Blanc Visage last start, comes off a win and the tempo is in its favour. No bet: in our top four, but $19.00 against our $17.30 is about right. |