Creator of The Overlay. Posts the odd one he likes.
Matt has not posted today.
Like this one based on a really nice first start. Concern is barrier 14 but hopefully finds a good spot. Maher stable more than a positive too.
Rates better than the favourite, will be one behind him in run and should be too good late.
How have they got this so short? Did not much on debut, is up against a weekend field today but sub $2 is crazy!
Thin value, but enough here in what looks to be a three horse race. Be vigilant with your price, would not take anything south of $3.
Hasn't run a bad time this prep bar the slowly run Hyperion, which he still won. The favourite keeps winning without the clock to back it.
Four wins and a second from five, with the late speed to take on Over The Bridge. Damian Lane sticks.
Our top pick of 14. Sits midfield from barrier 6 for Chris Parnham, and the late speed is as good as anything in it.
Our top pick. Should find the front over 1800 and will take some running down if left alone. The form figures undersell it.
Tops our ratings over the 900. Form reads 5-2-2-1-2, honest every start, and gets the run from barrier 3.
Our Prime of the day. Drawn 1 and maps to sit on the speed in a field of six she should be too good for.
Placed at the last two and only has one to beat on our numbers in a weak maiden.
My biggest personal play for a while. 100 rated runner in a field of nothing.
Best of the day for me. Taking a big personal position on it. Should just win.
Big enough price for a flutter. Best if anything goes wrong for the fav.
As mentioned on podcast, this is not a good price. Laying anything south of 3 come jump time.
Best form in the race and it should be run hot, with Hughie and Purosangue both wanting the lead. Bee Exact sits just off them from barrier 3 and gets it run to suit. Has won at Kilcoy. Fair odds $4.80.
$1.70 off two starts against a deeper field than it has met. The Pacific, Prince De Vega and Lawless Lucy have stronger form, and it has to lead from 4 with Prince De Vega pressing. Fair odds $2.05.
Mindgames is $1.55 off one start. Ole Miss has the better form, won her only try at 1400m and won second up, which she is today. A fast pace with Mindgames leading sets it up from midfield. Fair odds $4.40.
Makes it a hattrick. Not worried about GG, Alibi a chance but more value in the Hottie at the price.
Has to overcome 1.8 fav but ratings are the same if not better than it. Good value at the price.
Best ratings in the field by a lot. Gets a good map and should be too strong late.
The more I look into this set up the more I like it. An official play.
Top rated at 90.2 with the best closing sectionals in the race. Needs luck from the back but the price covers it.
Fifth of seven on our figures and a leader with ordinary closing sectionals. Too short at the price.
Last of eight on our figures at 73.0. Far too short for a leader without the late speed.
Top rated at 93.1 and clear of the next on our figures. Backs up two days after running second.
Top rated at 91.6 with the best closing sectionals in the race. Needs luck from the back but the price covers it.
Top rated at 85.9 with the early speed to control it from barrier two, and gets an on-pace run.
Top rated by a clear margin with the best late sectionals and gets an on-pace run. The one to be with today.
Best closing sectionals in the race, needs a bit of luck from the back but the price covers it.
Rates top of the field on the strength of his closing sectionals. Good price against the favourite.
Top rated, has the speed to lead them and rates well clear. Hard to run down.
Better ratings than short price favourite and should be too quick early and be a couple pairs ahead of the favourite in run.
Into $2.50 from $4.40 first up after 126 days. A maiden after eight starts and 0 from 2 first up. Gold Cup has comparable form and maps closer. Best of a weak maiden, not at $2.50. Fair odds $3.20.